economy – Muhasebe News https://www.muhasebenews.com Muhasebe News Thu, 12 Oct 2023 10:42:18 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.3.3 Serbia’s inflation rate drops to a 17-month low https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/serbias-inflation-rate-drops-to-a-17-month-low/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/serbias-inflation-rate-drops-to-a-17-month-low/#respond Thu, 12 Oct 2023 10:42:18 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=147060 Prices of goods and services used for personal consumption in September 2023 in relation to August 2023 increased by 0.3%, on average. Consumer prices in September 2023 increased by 10.2% in relation to September 2022. Consumer prices in September 2023 in relation to December 2022 increased by 6.7%, on average.

Observed by main groups according to the destination of consumption, in September 2023 in relation to the previous month, increase of prices was noted in the groups Transport (1.8%), Restaurants and hotels (0.9%), Health and Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance (by 0.5% each), Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (0.4%) and in the groups Food and non-alcoholic beverages and Alcoholic beverages and tobacco (by 0.2% each). Decrease of prices was noted in the groups Recreation and culture (-2.9%) and Communication (-0.1%).


Source: Statistics Serbia
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Unemployment rate rose in 15 OECD countries in July 2023, including Denmark, Lithuania, and Austria https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/unemployment-rate-rose-in-15-oecd-countries-in-july-2023-including-denmark-lithuania-and-austria/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/unemployment-rate-rose-in-15-oecd-countries-in-july-2023-including-denmark-lithuania-and-austria/#respond Thu, 21 Sep 2023 07:20:34 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=146458 The OECD unemployment rate was broadly stable at 4.8% in July 2023, remaining below 5.0% for over a year. The unemployment rate rose in 15 OECD countries in July 2023, including Denmark, Lithuania, and Austria, was unchanged in 9 and declined in 9. Unemployment was at or close to its record low in only five countries in July, including Germany and the United States (Figure 2). The number of unemployed persons in the OECD increased to 32.9 million in July but remained close to its minimum reached in April 2023.

In July 2023, the OECD youth unemployment rate (workers aged 15-24) edged up to 10.5%, from 10.3% in June. It rose in 14 OECD countries, with the largest increases observed in Finland, Austria, Denmark, Israel, Mexico, and the United States. The unemployment rates for women and men, as well as for workers aged 25 and above were broadly stable.

In the European Union and the euro area, the unemployment rate remained at record lows of 5.9% and 6.4%, respectively. It was stable or increased in all euro area countries except Greece, Slovenia, Belgium, Ireland, and Spain. The unemployment rate remained well above its record low in Estonia, Greece, Luxembourg, and Spain.

Outside Europe, the unemployment rate rose slightly in Mexico, Australia, Japan, Korea, and Canada. By contrast, it declined in Türkiye, Israel, and the United States. More recent data show that the unemployment rate remained stable in Canada at 5.0% in August and picked up in the United States to 3.8% from 3.5% in July 2023.


Source: OECD
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Türkiye’s CPI rose to 71.5 in September, up 5.1% https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/turkiyes-cpi-rose-to-71-5-in-september-up-5-1/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/turkiyes-cpi-rose-to-71-5-in-september-up-5-1/#respond Thu, 21 Sep 2023 07:13:20 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=146450 Consumer Confidence Index in Türkiye, September 2023

Consumer confidence index realized as 71.5

Consumer confidence index, calculated from the results of the consumer tendency survey carried out in cooperation with the Turkish Statistical Institute and Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, which was 68.0 in August increased by 5.1% in September to 71.5.

Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and rate of changes, September 2023

Index Percentage
change over
the previous
month (%)
August September August September
Consumer confidence index 68.0 71.5 -15.1 5.1
Financial situation of household at present 56.2 56.2 -12.9 0.1
Financial situation expectation of household over the next 12 months 63.7 68.9 -19.6 8.1
General economic situation expectation over the next 12 months 63.1 68.0 -23.2 7.8
Assesment on spending money on durable goods over the next 12 months 89.0 92.7 -5.7 4.2

The next release on this subject will be on October 23, 2023.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

EXPLANATIONS

In monthly consumer tendency survey, consumers’ assessments and expectations on financial standing and general economic situation, also their expenditure and saving tendencies are measured.

The consumer confidence index calculated from the survey results is evaluated within the range of 0-200. It indicates an optimistic outlook when the index is above 100, but it indicates a pessimistic outlook when it is below 100.

The increase in probability of borrowing money index, which is the one of the indices concerning consumer tendency indicates an optimistic outlook while decrease in index indicates a pessimistic outlook. Similarly, increase in assessment and expectation in consumer prices change rate indices indicate a decrease in assessment/ expectation in consumer prices and vice versa. The increase in number of people unemployed expectation index indicates decrease of number of people unemployed expectation, whereas decrease indicates increase of number of people unemployed expectation.

No seasonal effect has been determined in the sub-indices used in the calculation of the consumer confidence index since January 2023. Detailed information on this subject is submitted in the metadata section.


Source: TurkStat
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Japanese Imports Fall by the Most in Three Years https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/japanese-imports-fall-by-the-most-in-three-years/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/japanese-imports-fall-by-the-most-in-three-years/#respond Wed, 20 Sep 2023 09:55:14 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=146426 Compared to market expectations of a 19.4% decline and following a 13.6% decline in July, imports into Japan decreased 17.8% year over year to JPY 8,924.82 billion in August 2023. As a result of rising energy prices and a strong yen, this was the fifth consecutive month of declines at the fastest rate since August 2020. with purchases of mineral fuels falling 36.6%, primarily LNG (-43.1%) and petroleum (-25.5%). Additionally, due to the decline in semiconductor and integrated circuit prices, imports of electrical machinery decreased by 6.3%, while those of other goods declined by 0.3%. Additionally, due to medical products (-14.7%), purchases of chemicals decreased by 14.4%. Non-ferrous metals (-20.0%) weighed heavily on imports of manufactured goods, which fell 16.9%, while raw material imports fell 21.7%. On the other hand, purchases of transportation equipment increased 14.3%, driven primarily by cars.


Source: Trading News
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UK’s Food Inflation Reaches 12-Month Low https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/uks-food-inflation-reaches-12-month-low/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/uks-food-inflation-reaches-12-month-low/#respond Wed, 20 Sep 2023 09:42:26 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=146425 Following a recent high of 19.1% in March 2023, which was the highest annual rate observed in more than 45 years, food inflation in the United Kingdom decreased to 13.6% year-over-year in August 2023, down from 14.8% in July and a recent high of 14.8%. The categories of milk, cheese, and eggs (15.3% decreased from 18.7% in July), vegetables (14.0% decreased from 16.7%), and fish (6.8% decreased from 13.4%), with the latter category being predominantly headed by a variety of fresh, chilled, frozen, and processed fish and shellfish.


Source: Trading News
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Eurozone Construction Output Rebounds in July; increased by 0.8% https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/eurozone-construction-output-rebounds-in-july-increased-by-0-8/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/eurozone-construction-output-rebounds-in-july-increased-by-0-8/#respond Wed, 20 Sep 2023 09:39:55 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=146423 In July 2023 compared with June 2023, seasonally adjusted production in the construction sector increased by 0.8% in the euro area and by 0.7% in the EU, according to first estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In June 2023, production in construction fell by 1.2% in the euro area and by 1.0% in the EU.

In July 2023 compared with July 2022, production in construction increased by 1.0% in the euro area and by 0.9% in the EU.

Monthly comparison by construction sector and by Member State

In the euro area in July 2023, compared with June 2023, building construction increased by 0.9%, while civil engineering decreased by 0.4%.

In the EU, building construction increased by 0.8%, while civil engineering decreased by 1.7%. Among Member States for which data are available, the highest monthly increases in production in construction were recorded in Hungary (+8.4%), Belgium (+2.9%) and Germany (+2.6%). The largest decreases were observed in Slovenia (-6.5%), Czechia (-3.7%) and Finland (-1.6%).

Annual comparison by construction sector and by Member State

In the euro area in July 2023, compared with July 2022, civil engineering increased by 3.0% and building construction by 0.9%.

In the EU civil engineering increased by 2.8% and building construction by 0.6%. Among Member States for which data are available, the highest annual increases in production in construction
were observed in Slovenia (+17.6%), Romania (+15.8%) and Belgium (+8.2%). Decreases were recorded in Finland (-5.9%), Sweden (-4.7%), Czechia (-2.2%) and Bulgaria (-1.7%).


Source: Eurostat
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Industrial production up by 1.0% in the euro area in April and by 0.7% in the EU https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/industrial-production-up-by-1-0-in-the-euro-area-in-april-and-by-0-7-in-the-eu/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/industrial-production-up-by-1-0-in-the-euro-area-in-april-and-by-0-7-in-the-eu/#respond Thu, 15 Jun 2023 07:42:21 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=143613 In April 2023, the seasonally adjusted industrial production increased by 1.0% in the euro area and by 0.7% in the EU, compared with March 2023, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In March 2023, industrial production decreased by 3.8% in the euro area and by 3.2% in the EU.

In April 2023 compared with April 2022, industrial production increased by 0.2% in the euro area and by 0.1% in the EU.

Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in April 2023, compared with March 2023, production of capital goods grew by 14.7% and energy by 1.0%, while production of intermediate goods fell by 1.0%, durable consumer goods by 2.6% and non-durable consumer goods by 3.0%.

In the EU, production of capital goods grew by 12.1% and energy by 0.3%, while production of intermediate goods fell by 1.0%, durable consumer goods and non-durable consumer goods both by 2.2%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the highest monthly increases were registered in Ireland (+21.5%), Lithuania (+2.8%) and Sweden (+1.4%). The largest decreases were observed in Slovenia (-7.9%), Portugal (-5.5%) and the Netherlands (-3.5%).

Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in April 2023, compared with April 2022, production of capital goods rose by 8.3% and nondurable consumer goods by 0.6%, while production of durable consumer goods fell by 4.6%, intermediate goods by 6.2% and energy by 7.4%.

In the EU, production of capital goods rose by 8.8% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.8%, while production of durable consumer goods fell by 6.1%, intermediate goods by 6.6% and energy by 8.3%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the highest annual increases were registered in Ireland (+22.5%), Malta (+14.3%) and Denmark (+12.2%). The largest decreases were observed in Estonia (-15.1%), the Netherlands (-12.8%) and Bulgaria (-12.5%).


Source: Eurostat
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Inflation in Bulgaria is at a 15-month low of 10.1% https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/inflation-in-bulgaria-is-at-a-15-month-low-of-10-1/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/inflation-in-bulgaria-is-at-a-15-month-low-of-10-1/#respond Thu, 15 Jun 2023 07:40:13 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=143611 According to figures from the National Statistical Institute, consumer price inflation in Bulgaria decreased for the fifth consecutive month in May but remained high.

Slower than the 11.6 percent increase in April, the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, increased by 10.1 percent in May.

Since prices increased by 10.0 percent in February 2022, the most recent inflation rate was the lowest.

In May, the annual increase in food and non-alcoholic beverage prices was 14.4%. Health expenditures increased by 12.0% while the cost of other goods and services increased by 15.8%.

In the meantime, the price of utilities, such as housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels, increased by 11.8 percent. The price of transportation dropped by 9.5%.

Consumer prices decreased by 0.1 percent on a monthly basis in May after increasing by 0.3 percent the previous month.


Source: RTT News
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May saw a 4.0% increase in Turkey’s consumer confidence index compared to April https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/may-saw-a-4-0-increase-in-turkeys-consumer-confidence-index-compared-to-april/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/may-saw-a-4-0-increase-in-turkeys-consumer-confidence-index-compared-to-april/#respond Mon, 22 May 2023 07:10:42 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=142873 Consumer Confidence Index in Türkiye, May 2023

Consumer confidence index realized as 91.1

Consumer confidence index calculated from the results of the consumer tendency survey carried out in cooperation with the Turkish Statistical Institute and Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye increased by 4.0% in May compared to the previous month. The index became 91.1 in May while it was 87.5 in April.

Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and rate of changes, May 2023

Index Percentage
change over
the previous
month (%)
April May April May
Consumer confidence index 87.5 91.1 9.2 4.0
Financial situation of household at present 69.1 70.6 4.6 2.2
Financial situation expectation of household over the next 12 months 89.8 94.0 12.8 4.7
General economic situation expectation over the next 12 months 95.2 100.5 14.7 5.7
Assesment on spending money on durable goods over the next 12 months 96.1 99.1 4.5 3.1

The next release on this subject will be on June 19, 2023.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

EXPLANATIONS

In monthly consumer tendency survey, consumers’ assessments and expectations on financial standing and general economic situation, also their expenditure and saving tendencies are measured.

The consumer confidence index calculated from the survey results is evaluated within the range of 0-200. It indicates an optimistic outlook when the index is above 100, but it indicates a pessimistic outlook when it is below 100.

The increase in probability of borrowing money index, which is the one of the indices concerning consumer tendency indicates an optimistic outlook while decrease in index indicates a pessimistic outlook. Similarly, increase in assessment and expectation in consumer prices change rate indices indicate a decrease in assessment/ expectation in consumer prices and vice versa. The increase in number of people unemployed expectation index indicates decrease of number of people unemployed expectation, whereas decrease indicates increase of number of people unemployed expectation.

No seasonal effect has been determined in the sub-indices used in the calculation of the consumer confidence index since January 2023. Detailed information on this subject is submitted in the metadata section.


Source: TurkStat
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Production prices in Portugal decrease and consumer prices continue to decelerate in April 2023 https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/production-prices-in-portugal-decrease-and-consumer-prices-continue-to-decelerate-in-april-2023/ https://www.muhasebenews.com/en/production-prices-in-portugal-decrease-and-consumer-prices-continue-to-decelerate-in-april-2023/#respond Mon, 22 May 2023 06:53:17 +0000 https://www.muhasebenews.com/?p=142872 In the Euro Area (EA), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in volume increased 1.3% in year-on-year terms in the first quarter of 2023 (1.8% in the previous quarter) and 0.1% in quarter-on-quarter terms (0.3% in the fourth quarter).

In Portugal, GDP in real terms registered a year-on-year rate of change of 2.5% in the first quarter (3.2% in the previous quarter) and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.6% (0.3% in the previous quarter).

The industrial production price index registered a negative year-on-year rate of change in April (-0.9%), which had not happened since February 2021, after increases of 8.9% and 0.1% in February and March, in sequence of the uninterrupted deceleration profile observed since July 2022. The grouping of Energy was decisive for the reduction of the total index, with rates of -21.5% and -17.9% in March and April, respectively. Excluding the energy component, this index decelerated to 4.7% (8.1% in March). The index for consumer goods recorded a year-on-year change of 9.9% (11.6% in the previous month), decelerating for the fifth consecutive month, after reaching in November the highest growth of the current series (16.2%).

The year-on-year rate of change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decelerated to 5.7% in April, 1.7 percentage points (p.p.) less than in the previous month. The index for unprocessed decelerated, from 19.3% in March to 14.2% in April. On the external side, the implicit prices of exports and imports of goods, in March, registered year-on-year rates of change 4.8% and -2.2%, respectively (7.1% and 4.4% in February).

The short-term indicators for economic activity from the perspective of production, available for March, point out to a nominal slowdown in Industry and Services, a real decrease in Industry and an acceleration in Construction. From the expenditure side, the economic activity indicator increased less intensely in March, while the Gross Fixed Capital Formation indicator decreased in year-on-year terms and the private consumption indicator accelerated. The economic climate indicator, which summarizes the balances of responses to questions relating to business surveys, increased between January and April.

According to the Labour Force Survey, in the first quarter of 2023, the unemployment rate stood at 7.2%, 0.7 percentage points more than the rate observed in the previous quarter (5.9% in the first quarter of 2022). The number of unemployed increased by 23.3% in year-on-year terms (year-on-year rate of change of 3.7% in the previous quarter). The labour underutilization rate was 0.8 percentage points higher than in the fourth quarter, standing at 12.5% and 680.7 thousand people (633.1 thousand people in the previous quarter). Total employment increased by 0.4% compared to the previous quarter and 0.5% in year-on-year terms (year-on-year rate of change of 0.5% in the fourth quarter). The volume of hours actually worked has increased by 3.4% in year-on-year terms (4.6% in the previous quarter). The active population had a year-on-year increase of 1.8%.


Source: Statistics Portugal
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