Foreign Trade Expectation Survey of 1st Quarter, 2017
09 January 2017 Monday 14:19
January 09, 2017 – Foreign Trade Expectation Survey (DTBA) reflects assessments of Turkish foreign trade depending on recent and current situations along with future expectations of leading firms. Particularly, it helps to produce indices which can be stated as leading indicators.
Export Expectation Index decreased by 0.7 points to 109 in the 1st quarter of 2017 from 109.7 in the 4th quarter of 2016. Diffusion indices of Survey questions composing the Export Expectation Index show that, in the 1st quarter of 2017, in comparison to the 4th quarter of 2016, exports and export orders of the next 3 months have decreasing effect over the Index while expectations regarding the export orders belonging to the last 3 months and the level of current export orders have increasing effects over the Index.
Import Expectation Index increased by 1.2 points to 110.3 in the 1st quarter of 2017 from 109.1 in the 4th quarter of 2016. In the 1st quarter of 2017, in comparison to the 4th quarter of 2016, among the survey questions identifying the Import Expectation Index, the level of import for the next 3 months and level of import orders of the last 3 month have decreasing effects over Index, while expectations regarding current import orders and unit import price for the next 3 months has increasing effects over Index.
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