April 10, 2017 – Foreign Trade Expectation Survey (DTBA) reflects assessments of Turkish foreign trade depending on recent and current situations along with future expectations of leading firms. Particularly, it helps to produce indices which can be stated as leading indicators.
Export Expectation Index increased by 15.9 points to 124.9 in the 2nd quarter of 2017 from 109 in the 1st quarter of 2017. Diffusion indices of Survey questions composing the Export Expectation Index show that, in the 2nd quarter of 2017, in comparison to the 1st quarter of 2017, expectations regarding the export orders belonging to the last 3 months has decreasing effect while the level of current export orders, the level of export for the next 3 months and export orders of the next 3 months have increasing effect over the Index.
Import Expectation Index increased by 1.7 points to 112 in the 2nd quarter of 2017 from 110.3 in the 1st quarter of 2017. In the 2nd quarter of 2017, in comparison to the 1st quarter of 2017, among the survey questions identifying the Import Expectation Index, current import orders has decreasing effects over Index, while the level of import and unit import price for the next 3 months and level of import orders of the last 3 months has increasing effects over Index.
Source: Ministry of Economy
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